This is perhaps one of the most unexpected posts on this blog ever. Is not that popular, kambi-based bookmaker 888sport truly sharp enough to beat Pinnacle Sports live lines? Sounds unbelievable? We checked this.
There is an ultimate credo of sports arbitrage betting – Pinnacle Sports being unquestionable number 1 (aside with asian services like SBO) as it comes to sharpness and accuracy of lines. This has yet never been seriously questioned and this article is truly the first one ever to provide a bunch of contrary data.
With our knowledge we managed to run some extensive test, checking accuracy of Pinnacle Sports live betting lines against both Unibet ones and 888sport ones.
Analysis tools
Basically with our alerting system we were precisely identifying real time arbitrages (for live betting) and instantly placed arbs 0.5%+ between bookies of interest so either Pinnacle Sports – 888bet or Pinnacle Sports – Unibet.
Expected results
The assumption was (obviously) that the balance will grow in 888sport and Unibet in time and fall down in Pinnacle Sports given that every single child knows Pinnacle Sports lines are more accurate that the ones from soft bookies like Unibet or 888sport. That would be the obvious thing to predict. That is why we were amazed when the results of 6-months activity and thousands of arbitrages were finally analyzed.
Results
Not holding you more – here are the numbers:
Pinnacle Sports live lines against 888sport live lines (Arbitrages 0.5%+):
- Number of bets played: 2274 bets
- Total stake: 126 192 EUR
- Balance at Pinnacle Sports at the end of testing period : +3983 EUR!
- Yield at Pinnacle Sports: 3.15%!
This is perhaps first ever serious analysis in the web showing weakness of Pinnacle Sports lines against any other bookmaker. It is worth to notice that only live odds were subjected to this analysis, which is also innovatory. Interestingly another kambi-related service – Unibet does not share the sharpness of 888sport odds, as in the simultaneous analysis the results were way different:
Pinnacle Sports live lines against Unibet live lines (Arbitrages 0.5%+):
- Number of bets played: 4274
- Total stake: 94 368 EUR
- Balance at Pinnacle Sports at the end of testing period : -391 EUR
- Yield at Pinnacle Sports: -0.41%
Analysis and comments
The average Pinnacle Sports margin on the live markets was around 3.5% and such a yield result one could expect at Pinnacle Sports at the end of a testing period. Contrary Pinnacle countered with Unibet ended up around 0% and Pinnacle Sports countered with 888sport lost as much as 3,15%, which is statistically significant and truly unexpected. This is first report ever to show weakness of Pinnacle Sport lines (specifically live ones) and also – to be highlighted difference between quality of Unibet’s and 888sport live odds, in favor of 888sport. This certainly opens new opportunities to arbitrage players and might be (at least to some extent) the game-changer around. Further analysis are to be executed to further determine the ongoing trend.
Given the opportunity let me all remind you guys that we strongly cooperate with Oddstorm.com service, which is currently the best provider of live-arbitrage alert service.
Further discussion regarding this is open on Arbusers.
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